- Home
- Events
- UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
- Ariane da Silva vs Casey O'Neill
Women's Flyweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalPhoto:
ESPN · via Wikimedia Commons
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
Saturday, December 16, 2023 · Las Vegas · Nevada
Full card →Result
Ariane da Silva def. Casey O'Neill
Submission (Armbar On Ground) · Round 2 · 1:18 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Mark SmithSource · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
Market data not configured
The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 1:18
Ariane da SilvaRound 2Casey O'Neill
25 / 34Sig. strikes3 / 6
74%Accuracy50%
42 / 54Total strikes3 / 6
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 1
1Sub. attempts0
0:53Control0:00
19.2Pace / min2.3
100%Control share0%
Ariane da Silva
Targethead 96% · body 4% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 32% · clinch 0% · ground 68%
Casey O'Neill
Targethead 67% · body 0% · leg 33%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAriane da Silva landed 25 significant strikes to 3.Striking edgeAriane da Silva struck at 74% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
- Pace upAriane da Silva's significant-strike pace moved +147% from R1 to R2, 19.2 against 7.8 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftAriane da Silva's significant-strike accuracy moved +32 pts, 74% against 42%.
- Target shiftAriane da Silva's head share of landed strikes moved +42 pts, to 96% head with 4% body and 0% leg.
- Phase shiftAriane da Silva's ground share of landed strikes moved +65 pts, to 68% on the ground against 32% at distance.
- Pace downCasey O'Neill's significant-strike pace moved -59% from R1 to R2, 2.3 against 5.6 per minute.
- Target shiftCasey O'Neill's head share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 67% head with 0% body and 33% leg.
- Defensive driftCasey O'Neill absorbed significant strikes +147% faster than in R1, 19.2 against 7.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ariane da Silva
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Casey O'Neill
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
64Ariane da Silva sig. strikes
31Casey O'Neill sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+147%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Ariane da Silva)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 2 rounds · UFC Stats
64 / 127Sig. strikes31 / 74
50%Accuracy42%
86 / 152Total strikes32 / 75
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 2
1Sub attempts0
0:58Control0:20
45Head17
16Body3
3Leg11
Ariane da SilvaCasey O'Neill
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record11-2-0
29Age26
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach69"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
4.05Sig. str./min7.89
0.47TD / 15 min1.40
Ariane da Silva3-5 in archive
0KO/TKO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate