Split decision. 2 of 3 judges scored the bout for Jakub Wiklacz; Ben Cartlidge had it for Patchy Mix.
Scorecards as recorded by UFC Stats · source ↗ · fighter attribution derived from the recorded result, not assumed from score order · how this is built
Market
Market data unavailable
No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Jakub WiklaczRound 3Patchy Mix
2 / 3Sig. strikes7 / 9
67%Accuracy78%
31 / 33Total strikes29 / 36
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 1
1Sub. attempts0
0:00Control4:36
0.4Pace / min1.4
0%Control share100%
Jakub Wiklacz
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Patchy Mix
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 14% · clinch 0% · ground 86%
Statistical signals
Output edgePatchy Mix landed 7 significant strikes to 2.Control edgePatchy Mix held 276s of control to 0s.Striking edgePatchy Mix struck at 78% accuracy to 67%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downJakub Wiklacz's significant-strike pace moved -94% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 6.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJakub Wiklacz's significant-strike accuracy moved +11 pts, 67% against 55%.
Pace downPatchy Mix's significant-strike pace moved -72% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 5.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftPatchy Mix's significant-strike accuracy moved +17 pts, 78% against 61%.
Target shiftPatchy Mix's head share of landed strikes moved +44 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftPatchy Mix's ground share of landed strikes moved +82 pts, to 86% on the ground against 14% at distance.
Control swingPatchy Mix's control time moved +199s, 276s against 77s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Jakub Wiklacz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Patchy Mix
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
46Jakub Wiklacz sig. strikes
37Patchy Mix sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+400%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Patchy Mix)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
PBE derivedPBE DerivedCalculated by PropBetEdge from normalized event, bout and round-level source records using a versioned Fight DNA definition. It is not an official UFC statistic, is not simply copied from a source page, and is not a prediction.Definitionversioned Fight DNA registrySampleshown beside every numberConfidencetier set by the sampleAs ofsnapshot datePBE Derived explained →What does confidence mean?Calculated by PropBetEdge from both fighters' normalized fight records. Not an official UFC statistic and not a prediction. How Matchup DNA works →
ConfidenceConfidenceConfidence reflects the amount of supporting sample for this metric. It does not mean PropBetEdge is predicting the fighter will reproduce the number in the next fight.Thresholds are the definition v1 rules recorded in the Fight DNA contract; they are applied by the builder, not by this page.Highlarger supporting sampleMediumuseful but still limited sampleLowsmall sample — interpret carefullyInsufficientnot enough observed evidence to publish the metricConfidence tiers explained →What does confidence mean?
result DNA liveArchive sample · Jakub Wiklacz: 0 completed / 0 with round stats · Patchy Mix: 1 completed / 0 with round stats
Jakub Wiklacz vs Southpaw opponents
Stance interaction: Jakub Wiklacz's archived results against opponents listed with Patchy Mix's stance. Historical split, not causation.
PBE derived
—Record0 appearances · insufficient
Patchy Mix vs Orthodox opponents
Stance interaction: Patchy Mix's archived results against opponents listed with Jakub Wiklacz's stance. Historical split, not causation.
The matchup has result/finish/stance history, but detailed striking, target, pace and grappling comparisons are withheld until both fighters have archived round observations.
Missing round data is never rendered as a zero and no comparison is inferred from current-career snapshots.
Strongest supported observations
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
No additional observation clears its sample threshold yet. The supported profile above remains available.
Counter-case and missing data
What the record cannot support for this pairing, stated instead of hidden.
Jakub Wiklacz: no Fight DNA snapshot; side a is null in every comparison and no a-side insight is emitted.
Jakub Wiklacz: no Fight DNA snapshot; no stance history vs southpaws.
Patchy Mix vs orthodox opponents: 0 appearances, confidence insufficient; needs >= 3 appearances and confidence >= low. No stance insight emitted.
Patchy Mix pace_retention_r3_vs_r1: confidence insufficient (0 bouts); needs >= 2 stat-covered bouts and confidence >= low. No pace insight emitted.
Head attack share: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no target share mismatch insight emitted.
Body attack share: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no target share mismatch insight emitted.
Leg attack share: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no target share mismatch insight emitted.
Distance attack share: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no phase share mismatch insight emitted.
Clinch attack share: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no phase share mismatch insight emitted.
Ground attack share: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no phase share mismatch insight emitted.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Takedown accuracy: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Control seconds / takedown: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Submission attempts / 15 min: Jakub Wiklacz metric not stored; Patchy Mix confidence insufficient (0 bouts). Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
