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UFC Pro · PBE Algo

PBE PICKS

Official PropBetEdge model selections

Every eligible UFC bout gets a pick with its win probability and confidence, locked on the database clock before the fight and graded after it. A bout the model will not call shows the exact reason.

LIVE PBE PICKS TRACKER

Every call. Every result. No edits.

Official locked PBE Picks are graded into the ledger as results arrive. Current calls stay Pro; the receipts stay visible.

Track Record & Past Picks →
THIS FIGHT WEEKUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
2-3Record
40.0%Hit rate
-2.66uNet units
-66.4%ROI
L1Streak
0Pending
4 of 5 decided calls currently have a valid frozen lock-time price for ROI.
LIFETIME OFFICIALPBE Algo live record
20-12Record
62.5%Hit rate
-0.70uNet units
-2.7%ROI
L1Streak
0Pending
26 of 32 decided calls currently have a valid frozen lock-time price for ROI.
LAST OFFICIAL RESULTUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
LOSS
Matheus Camilovs Jai Herbert
Locked price -185 · FAVReturn -1.00u
ROI standard: flat 1-unit stake per decided call using the best available price stored in the immutable lock-time market snapshot. A decided call without a valid stored price remains in W-L and hit rate but is excluded from ROI. Draws, no contests and voids are not wins or losses.
Latest official results

Recent graded picks

Browse All Past Picks →
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Oct 10, 2026Matheus Camilo vs Jai HerbertPBE PickMatheus Camilo
Locked odds
-185 · FAV
Result
LOSS
Net units
-1.00u
Lock & grading details
Locked (database clock)
Oct 9 · 12:42 PM ET2026-10-09 16:42 UTC
Model probability
75.4%band 70-80
Confidence
High
Model version
PBE Fight Model V1pbe-fight-features-v1
Lock price source
-185 · FAV at DraftKingsbest available price in the frozen lock-time snapshot · consensus -190 · FAV
Market snapshot
2026-10-09 16:25 UTCsnapshot · 7 books · market 62.8% · PBE Edge +12.6 pts

Grading revisions

  1. r1 · LOSS2026-10-11 02:01 UTC · ufc_bout_results · DEC_U
Permanent link to this pick
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Oct 10, 2026Julius Walker vs Gerald MeerschaertPBE PickJulius Walker
Locked odds
-290 · FAV
Result
WIN
Net units
+0.34u
Lock & grading details
Locked (database clock)
Oct 9 · 12:42 PM ET2026-10-09 16:42 UTC
Model probability
62.3%band 60-65
Confidence
Medium
Model version
PBE Fight Model V1pbe-fight-features-v1
Lock price source
-290 · FAV at Bovadabest available price in the frozen lock-time snapshot · consensus -300 · FAV
Market snapshot
2026-10-09 16:25 UTCsnapshot · 7 books · market 71.8% · PBE Edge −9.5 pts

Grading revisions

  1. r1 · WIN2026-10-10 23:53 UTC · ufc_bout_results · KO_TKO
Permanent link to this pick
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Oct 10, 2026Felipe Franco vs Brendson RibeiroPBE PickFelipe Franco
Locked odds
-355 · FAV
Result
LOSS
Net units
-1.00u
Lock & grading details
Locked (database clock)
Oct 9 · 12:42 PM ET2026-10-09 16:42 UTC
Model probability
66.7%band 65-70
Confidence
Medium
Model version
PBE Fight Model V1pbe-fight-features-v1
Lock price source
-355 · FAV at DraftKingsbest available price in the frozen lock-time snapshot · consensus -375 · FAV
Market snapshot
2026-10-09 16:25 UTCsnapshot · 7 books · market 75.5% · PBE Edge −8.8 pts

Grading revisions

  1. r1 · LOSS2026-10-10 22:25 UTC · ufc_bout_results · SUB
Permanent link to this pick
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Oct 10, 2026Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ HarrisPBE PickRJ Harris
Locked odds
-325 · FAV
Result
LOSS
Net units
-1.00u
Lock & grading details
Locked (database clock)
Oct 9 · 12:42 PM ET2026-10-09 16:42 UTC
Model probability
65.2%band 65-70
Confidence
Medium
Model version
PBE Fight Model V1pbe-fight-features-v1
Lock price source
-325 · FAV at FanDuelbest available price in the frozen lock-time snapshot · consensus -345 · FAV
Market snapshot
2026-10-09 16:25 UTCsnapshot · 6 books · market 74.4% · PBE Edge −9.2 pts

Grading revisions

  1. r1 · LOSS2026-10-10 22:09 UTC · ufc_bout_results · KO_TKO
Permanent link to this pick
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · Oct 10, 2026Alice Pereira vs Daria ZhelezniakovaPBE PickAlice Pereira
Locked odds
—
Result
WIN
Net units
—
Lock & grading details
Locked (database clock)
Oct 9 · 12:42 PM ET2026-10-09 16:42 UTC
Model probability
74.7%band 70-80
Confidence
Medium
Model version
PBE Fight Model V1pbe-fight-features-v1
Lock price source
No valid lock-time price storedCounts in W-L; excluded from units and ROI
Market snapshot
—none

Grading revisions

  1. r1 · WIN2026-10-10 21:50 UTC · ufc_bout_results · KO_TKO
Permanent link to this pick

The latest results in the order they were graded, wins and losses alike. Current picks stay with UFC Pro until they are graded.