Referee · Kevin MulhallNelson Hamilton · 27-30Eric Colon · 27-30Jeff Blatnick · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Aaron RileyRound 3Shane Nelson
12 / 32Sig. strikes3 / 15
38%Accuracy20%
77 / 103Total strikes24 / 37
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
3:39Control0:00
2.4Pace / min0.6
100%Control share0%
Aaron Riley
Targethead 83% · body 17% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 33% · clinch 0% · ground 67%
Shane Nelson
Targethead 33% · body 67% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 33% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAaron Riley landed 12 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeAaron Riley held 219s of control to 0s.Striking edgeAaron Riley struck at 38% accuracy to 20%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downAaron Riley's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 3.6 per minute.
Target shiftAaron Riley's head share of landed strikes moved +22 pts, to 83% head with 17% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftAaron Riley's ground share of landed strikes moved +56 pts, to 67% on the ground against 33% at distance.
Control swingAaron Riley's control time moved +67s, 219s against 152s.
Pace downShane Nelson's significant-strike pace moved -73% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 2.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftShane Nelson's significant-strike accuracy moved -15 pts, 20% against 35%.
Target shiftShane Nelson's head share of landed strikes moved -30 pts, to 33% head with 67% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Aaron Riley
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Shane Nelson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
50Aaron Riley sig. strikes
28Shane Nelson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-73%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Shane Nelson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
