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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 2:38
Alex OliveiraRound 2Tim Means
6 / 10Sig. strikes5 / 5
60%Accuracy100%
6 / 11Total strikes10 / 10
0Knockdowns0
2 / 5Takedowns0 / 1
1Sub. attempts0
2:02Control0:17
2.3Pace / min1.9
88%Control share12%
Alex Oliveira
Targethead 67% · body 17% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 50% · ground 50%
Tim Means
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 60% · ground 40%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAlex Oliveira landed 6 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeAlex Oliveira held 122s of control to 17s.Striking edgeTim Means struck at 100% accuracy to 60%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upAlex Oliveira's significant-strike pace moved +90% from R1 to R2, 2.3 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftAlex Oliveira's significant-strike accuracy moved +17 pts, 60% against 43%.
Target shiftAlex Oliveira's head share of landed strikes moved +33 pts, to 67% head with 17% body and 17% leg.
Phase shiftAlex Oliveira's ground share of landed strikes moved +33 pts, to 50% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Defensive driftAlex Oliveira absorbed significant strikes +137% faster than in R1, 1.9 against 0.8 per minute.
Pace upTim Means's significant-strike pace moved +137% from R1 to R2, 1.9 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftTim Means's significant-strike accuracy moved +43 pts, 100% against 57%.
Target shiftTim Means's head share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Control swingTim Means's control time moved -87s, 17s against 104s.
Defensive driftTim Means absorbed significant strikes +90% faster than in R1, 2.3 against 1.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Alex Oliveira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tim Means
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
12Alex Oliveira sig. strikes
9Tim Means sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+137%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Tim Means)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.