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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Alexander GustafssonRound 3Mauricio Rua
31 / 52Sig. strikes10 / 30
60%Accuracy33%
53 / 76Total strikes11 / 31
0Knockdowns0
3 / 6Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
1:22Control0:00
6.2Pace / min2.0
100%Control share0%
Alexander Gustafsson
Targethead 84% · body 13% · leg 3%
Phasedistance 77% · clinch 10% · ground 13%
Mauricio Rua
Targethead 60% · body 40% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 80% · clinch 20% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAlexander Gustafsson landed 31 significant strikes to 10.Control edgeAlexander Gustafsson held 82s of control to 0s.Striking edgeAlexander Gustafsson struck at 60% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upAlexander Gustafsson's significant-strike pace moved +55% from R2 to R3, 6.2 against 4.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftAlexander Gustafsson's significant-strike accuracy moved +23 pts, 60% against 37%.
Target shiftAlexander Gustafsson's head share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 84% head with 13% body and 3% leg.
Phase shiftAlexander Gustafsson's ground share of landed strikes moved -12 pts, to 13% on the ground against 77% at distance.
Grappling pressureAlexander Gustafsson attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 3.
Pace downMauricio Rua's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 3.0 per minute.
Target shiftMauricio Rua's head share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 60% head with 40% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftMauricio Rua absorbed significant strikes +55% faster than in R2, 6.2 against 4.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Alexander Gustafsson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mauricio Rua
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
72Alexander Gustafsson sig. strikes
41Mauricio Rua sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+55%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Alexander Gustafsson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
