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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ali BagautinovRound 3John Lineker
20 / 25Sig. strikes2 / 7
80%Accuracy29%
37 / 43Total strikes5 / 10
0Knockdowns0
4 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:23Control0:03
4.0Pace / min0.4
99%Control share1%
Ali Bagautinov
Targethead 45% · body 55% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 10% · clinch 30% · ground 60%
John Lineker
Targethead 0% · body 100% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAli Bagautinov landed 20 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeAli Bagautinov held 203s of control to 3s.Striking edgeAli Bagautinov struck at 80% accuracy to 29%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftAli Bagautinov's significant-strike accuracy moved +34 pts, 80% against 46%.
Target shiftAli Bagautinov's head share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 45% head with 55% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftAli Bagautinov's ground share of landed strikes moved +60 pts, to 60% on the ground against 10% at distance.
Control swingAli Bagautinov's control time moved +170s, 203s against 33s.
Pace downJohn Lineker's significant-strike pace moved -91% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 4.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJohn Lineker's significant-strike accuracy moved -24 pts, 29% against 52%.
Target shiftJohn Lineker's head share of landed strikes moved -18 pts, to 0% head with 100% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJohn Lineker's ground share of landed strikes moved -23 pts, to 0% on the ground against 50% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ali Bagautinov
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
John Lineker
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
49Ali Bagautinov sig. strikes
27John Lineker sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+633%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (John Lineker)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
