Referee · John SharpAnthony Dimitriou · 28-29Charlie Keech · 29-28Evan Field · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Andrew HolbrookRound 3Jake Matthews
11 / 22Sig. strikes5 / 22
50%Accuracy23%
32 / 44Total strikes8 / 25
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
0:00Control2:31
2.2Pace / min1.0
0%Control share100%
Andrew Holbrook
Targethead 64% · body 18% · leg 18%
Phasedistance 55% · clinch 18% · ground 27%
Jake Matthews
Targethead 80% · body 20% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 80% · clinch 0% · ground 20%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAndrew Holbrook landed 11 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeJake Matthews held 151s of control to 0s.Striking edgeAndrew Holbrook struck at 50% accuracy to 23%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upAndrew Holbrook's significant-strike pace moved +57% from R2 to R3, 2.2 against 1.4 per minute.
Phase shiftAndrew Holbrook's ground share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 27% on the ground against 55% at distance.
Pace downJake Matthews's significant-strike pace moved -29% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 1.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJake Matthews's significant-strike accuracy moved -14 pts, 23% against 37%.
Target shiftJake Matthews's head share of landed strikes moved +23 pts, to 80% head with 20% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJake Matthews's ground share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 20% on the ground against 80% at distance.
Defensive driftJake Matthews absorbed significant strikes +57% faster than in R2, 2.2 against 1.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Andrew Holbrook
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jake Matthews
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
30Andrew Holbrook sig. strikes
22Jake Matthews sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+57%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Andrew Holbrook)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
