Referee · Marc GoddardChris Lee · 28-29Andy Roberts · 28-29Chris Watts · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Andy OgleRound 3Josh Grispi
14 / 23Sig. strikes2 / 7
61%Accuracy29%
38 / 55Total strikes9 / 14
0Knockdowns0
2 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts1
4:29Control0:00
2.8Pace / min0.4
100%Control share0%
Andy Ogle
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 29% · clinch 0% · ground 71%
Josh Grispi
Targethead 0% · body 50% · leg 50%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAndy Ogle landed 14 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeAndy Ogle held 269s of control to 0s.Striking edgeAndy Ogle struck at 61% accuracy to 29%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upAndy Ogle's significant-strike pace moved +600% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 0.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftAndy Ogle's significant-strike accuracy moved +44 pts, 61% against 17%.
Phase shiftAndy Ogle's ground share of landed strikes moved +71 pts, to 71% on the ground against 29% at distance.
Grappling pressureAndy Ogle attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Pace downJosh Grispi's significant-strike pace moved -50% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJosh Grispi's significant-strike accuracy moved -21 pts, 29% against 50%.
Defensive driftJosh Grispi absorbed significant strikes +600% faster than in R2, 2.8 against 0.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Andy Ogle
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Josh Grispi
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
19Andy Ogle sig. strikes
7Josh Grispi sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+600%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Andy Ogle)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.