The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 2:57
Ariane CarnelossiRound 3Istela Nunes
9 / 26Sig. strikes13 / 27
35%Accuracy48%
15 / 33Total strikes15 / 30
0Knockdowns0
1 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
1:10Control0:00
3.1Pace / min4.4
100%Control share0%
Ariane Carnelossi
Targethead 89% · body 11% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Istela Nunes
Targethead 62% · body 15% · leg 23%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeIstela Nunes landed 13 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeAriane Carnelossi held 70s of control to 0s.Striking edgeIstela Nunes struck at 48% accuracy to 35%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upAriane Carnelossi's significant-strike pace moved +69% from R2 to R3, 3.1 against 1.8 per minute.
Control swingAriane Carnelossi's control time moved -143s, 70s against 213s.
Defensive driftAriane Carnelossi absorbed significant strikes +22% faster than in R2, 4.4 against 3.6 per minute.
Pace upIstela Nunes's significant-strike pace moved +22% from R2 to R3, 4.4 against 3.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftIstela Nunes's significant-strike accuracy moved -14 pts, 48% against 62%.
Defensive driftIstela Nunes absorbed significant strikes +69% faster than in R2, 3.1 against 1.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ariane Carnelossi
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Istela Nunes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
36Ariane Carnelossi sig. strikes
62Istela Nunes sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+69%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Ariane Carnelossi)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
