Referee · Herb DeanMike Bell · 27-30Sal D'amato · 27-30Tony Weeks · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Bill AlgeoRound 3Spike Carlyle
30 / 41Sig. strikes8 / 21
73%Accuracy38%
38 / 51Total strikes9 / 24
0Knockdowns0
0 / 1Takedowns1 / 8
0Sub. attempts0
0:39Control1:42
6.0Pace / min1.6
28%Control share72%
Bill Algeo
Targethead 80% · body 17% · leg 3%
Phasedistance 60% · clinch 37% · ground 3%
Spike Carlyle
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 88% · clinch 13% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeBill Algeo landed 30 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeSpike Carlyle held 102s of control to 39s.Striking edgeBill Algeo struck at 73% accuracy to 38%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upBill Algeo's significant-strike pace moved +114% from R2 to R3, 6.0 against 2.8 per minute.
Target shiftBill Algeo's head share of landed strikes moved +23 pts, to 80% head with 17% body and 3% leg.
Phase shiftBill Algeo's ground share of landed strikes moved -40 pts, to 3% on the ground against 60% at distance.
Control swingBill Algeo's control time moved -151s, 39s against 190s.
Defensive driftBill Algeo absorbed significant strikes +60% faster than in R2, 1.6 against 1.0 per minute.
Pace upSpike Carlyle's significant-strike pace moved +60% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftSpike Carlyle's significant-strike accuracy moved -12 pts, 38% against 50%.
Phase shiftSpike Carlyle's ground share of landed strikes moved -60 pts, to 0% on the ground against 88% at distance.
Grappling pressureSpike Carlyle attempted 7 more takedowns than in R2, 8 against 1.
Defensive driftSpike Carlyle absorbed significant strikes +114% faster than in R2, 6.0 against 2.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Bill Algeo
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Spike Carlyle
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
70Bill Algeo sig. strikes
23Spike Carlyle sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+114%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Bill Algeo)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
