Referee · Herb DeanBarry Foley · 29-28Sal D'amato · 28-28Chris Lee · 28-28Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Draw · R3 · 5:00
BJ PennRound 3Jon Fitch
1 / 3Sig. strikes26 / 35
33%Accuracy74%
2 / 4Total strikes149 / 181
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns3 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
0:00Control4:45
0.2Pace / min5.2
0%Control share100%
BJ Penn
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Jon Fitch
Targethead 81% · body 4% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 8% · clinch 15% · ground 77%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJon Fitch landed 26 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeJon Fitch held 285s of control to 0s.Striking edgeJon Fitch struck at 74% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downBJ Penn's significant-strike pace moved -80% from R2 to R3, 0.2 against 1.0 per minute.
Target shiftBJ Penn's head share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftBJ Penn's ground share of landed strikes moved -40 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingBJ Penn's control time moved -69s, 0s against 69s.
Defensive driftBJ Penn absorbed significant strikes +86% faster than in R2, 5.2 against 2.8 per minute.
Pace upJon Fitch's significant-strike pace moved +86% from R2 to R3, 5.2 against 2.8 per minute.
Target shiftJon Fitch's head share of landed strikes moved +31 pts, to 81% head with 4% body and 15% leg.
Phase shiftJon Fitch's ground share of landed strikes moved +34 pts, to 77% on the ground against 8% at distance.
Control swingJon Fitch's control time moved +72s, 285s against 213s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
BJ Penn
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jon Fitch
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
12BJ Penn sig. strikes
47Jon Fitch sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+100%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Jon Fitch)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
