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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Brad TavaresRound 3Tom Watson
22 / 35Sig. strikes16 / 34
63%Accuracy47%
26 / 39Total strikes18 / 36
0Knockdowns0
2 / 6Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
2:18Control0:47
4.4Pace / min3.2
75%Control share25%
Brad Tavares
Targethead 77% · body 18% · leg 5%
Phasedistance 86% · clinch 14% · ground 0%
Tom Watson
Targethead 63% · body 31% · leg 6%
Phasedistance 56% · clinch 31% · ground 13%
Statistical signals
Output edgeBrad Tavares landed 22 significant strikes to 16.Control edgeBrad Tavares held 138s of control to 47s.Striking edgeBrad Tavares struck at 63% accuracy to 47%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftBrad Tavares's significant-strike accuracy moved +23 pts, 63% against 40%.
Grappling pressureBrad Tavares attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 2.
Pace downTom Watson's significant-strike pace moved -20% from R2 to R3, 3.2 against 4.0 per minute.
Phase shiftTom Watson's ground share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 13% on the ground against 56% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Brad Tavares
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tom Watson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
83Brad Tavares sig. strikes
65Tom Watson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-39%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Brad Tavares)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.