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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Bryan CarawayRound 3Aljamain Sterling
2 / 9Sig. strikes6 / 10
22%Accuracy60%
15 / 23Total strikes7 / 13
0Knockdowns0
2 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:52Control0:00
0.4Pace / min1.2
100%Control share0%
Bryan Caraway
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Aljamain Sterling
Targethead 17% · body 50% · leg 33%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeAljamain Sterling landed 6 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeBryan Caraway held 232s of control to 0s.Striking edgeAljamain Sterling struck at 60% accuracy to 22%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downBryan Caraway's significant-strike pace moved -67% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftBryan Caraway's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 22% against 33%.
Target shiftBryan Caraway's head share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Grappling pressureBryan Caraway attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 4 against 2.
Control swingBryan Caraway's control time moved +70s, 232s against 162s.
Pace downAljamain Sterling's significant-strike pace moved -68% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 3.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Bryan Caraway
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Aljamain Sterling
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
9Bryan Caraway sig. strikes
32Aljamain Sterling sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+500%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Bryan Caraway)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
