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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 1:26
Carla EsparzaRound 3Rose Namajunas
4 / 5Sig. strikes1 / 2
80%Accuracy50%
16 / 28Total strikes1 / 2
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
1:13Control0:00
2.8Pace / min0.7
100%Control share0%
Carla Esparza
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Rose Namajunas
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeCarla Esparza landed 4 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeCarla Esparza held 73s of control to 0s.Striking edgeCarla Esparza struck at 80% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downCarla Esparza's significant-strike pace moved -27% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftCarla Esparza's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 80% against 61%.
Phase shiftCarla Esparza's ground share of landed strikes moved +32 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingCarla Esparza's control time moved -116s, 73s against 189s.
Pace downRose Namajunas's significant-strike pace moved -61% from R2 to R3, 0.7 against 1.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRose Namajunas's significant-strike accuracy moved +11 pts, 50% against 39%.
Target shiftRose Namajunas's head share of landed strikes moved +44 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftRose Namajunas's ground share of landed strikes moved -22 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Carla Esparza
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rose Namajunas
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
42Carla Esparza sig. strikes
28Rose Namajunas sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-61%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rose Namajunas)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
