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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 2:54
Casey O'NeillRound 3Lara Procopio
7 / 12Sig. strikes4 / 5
58%Accuracy80%
74 / 85Total strikes5 / 6
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
2:33Control0:00
2.4Pace / min1.4
100%Control share0%
Casey O'Neill
Targethead 57% · body 29% · leg 14%
Phasedistance 71% · clinch 14% · ground 14%
Lara Procopio
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeCasey O'Neill landed 7 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeCasey O'Neill held 153s of control to 0s.Striking edgeLara Procopio struck at 80% accuracy to 58%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downCasey O'Neill's significant-strike pace moved -68% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 7.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftCasey O'Neill's significant-strike accuracy moved -18 pts, 58% against 76%.
Phase shiftCasey O'Neill's ground share of landed strikes moved -30 pts, to 14% on the ground against 71% at distance.
Defensive driftCasey O'Neill absorbed significant strikes +38% faster than in R2, 1.4 against 1.0 per minute.
Pace upLara Procopio's significant-strike pace moved +38% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftLara Procopio's significant-strike accuracy moved +30 pts, 80% against 50%.
Phase shiftLara Procopio's ground share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 0% on the ground against 50% at distance.
Control swingLara Procopio's control time moved -60s, 0s against 60s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Casey O'Neill
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Lara Procopio
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
71Casey O'Neill sig. strikes
41Lara Procopio sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-84%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Lara Procopio)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.