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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Chance RencountreRound 3Ismail Naurdiev
2 / 10Sig. strikes10 / 22
20%Accuracy45%
18 / 29Total strikes20 / 33
0Knockdowns0
0 / 5Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
3:18Control0:05
0.4Pace / min2.0
98%Control share2%
Chance Rencountre
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Ismail Naurdiev
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 40% · ground 10%
Statistical signals
Output edgeIsmail Naurdiev landed 10 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeChance Rencountre held 198s of control to 5s.Striking edgeIsmail Naurdiev struck at 45% accuracy to 20%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftChance Rencountre's significant-strike accuracy moved +20 pts, 20% against 0%.
Grappling pressureChance Rencountre attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 5 against 1.
Control swingChance Rencountre's control time moved -97s, 198s against 295s.
Defensive driftChance Rencountre absorbed significant strikes +900% faster than in R2, 2.0 against 0.2 per minute.
Pace upIsmail Naurdiev's significant-strike pace moved +900% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 0.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftIsmail Naurdiev's significant-strike accuracy moved -55 pts, 45% against 100%.
Target shiftIsmail Naurdiev's head share of landed strikes moved +100 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Chance Rencountre
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Ismail Naurdiev
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
4Chance Rencountre sig. strikes
21Ismail Naurdiev sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+900%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Ismail Naurdiev)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
