Referee · Leon RobertsHoward Hughes · 28-29Chris Lee · 28-29Chris Watts · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Chris CariasoRound 3Takeya Mizugaki
14 / 19Sig. strikes11 / 24
74%Accuracy46%
28 / 37Total strikes24 / 40
0Knockdowns0
0 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
0:55Control3:01
2.8Pace / min2.2
23%Control share77%
Chris Cariaso
Targethead 43% · body 50% · leg 7%
Phasedistance 14% · clinch 86% · ground 0%
Takeya Mizugaki
Targethead 55% · body 45% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 64% · ground 36%
Statistical signals
Output edgeChris Cariaso landed 14 significant strikes to 11.Control edgeTakeya Mizugaki held 181s of control to 55s.Striking edgeChris Cariaso struck at 74% accuracy to 46%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftChris Cariaso's significant-strike accuracy moved +22 pts, 74% against 52%.
Defensive driftChris Cariaso absorbed significant strikes +38% faster than in R2, 2.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Pace upTakeya Mizugaki's significant-strike pace moved +38% from R2 to R3, 2.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftTakeya Mizugaki's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 46% against 27%.
Target shiftTakeya Mizugaki's head share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 55% head with 45% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftTakeya Mizugaki's ground share of landed strikes moved -26 pts, to 36% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Chris Cariaso
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Takeya Mizugaki
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
37Chris Cariaso sig. strikes
28Takeya Mizugaki sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+87%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Chris Cariaso)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
