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- UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
- Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales
Lightweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalPhoto:
ESPN · via Wikimedia Commons
Photo:
ESPN · via Wikimedia Commons
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Saturday, March 18, 2023 · London · England
Full card →Result
Chris Duncan def. Omar Morales
Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Lukasz BosackiPaul Sutherland · 30-27Ben Cartlidge · 28-29Vito Paolillo · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Chris DuncanRound 3Omar Morales
15 / 19Sig. strikes14 / 21
79%Accuracy67%
18 / 22Total strikes16 / 23
0Knockdowns0
4 / 7Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:37Control0:00
3.0Pace / min2.8
100%Control share0%
Chris Duncan
Targethead 33% · body 40% · leg 27%
Phasedistance 87% · clinch 0% · ground 13%
Omar Morales
Targethead 71% · body 7% · leg 21%
Phasedistance 93% · clinch 7% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Control edgeChris Duncan held 217s of control to 0s.Striking edgeChris Duncan struck at 79% accuracy to 67%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Accuracy shiftChris Duncan's significant-strike accuracy moved +21 pts, 79% against 58%.
- Target shiftChris Duncan's head share of landed strikes moved +26 pts, to 33% head with 40% body and 27% leg.
- Phase shiftChris Duncan's ground share of landed strikes moved -22 pts, to 13% on the ground against 87% at distance.
- Grappling pressureChris Duncan attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 7 against 5.
- Defensive driftChris Duncan absorbed significant strikes +100% faster than in R2, 2.8 against 1.4 per minute.
- Pace upOmar Morales's significant-strike pace moved +100% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 1.4 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftOmar Morales's significant-strike accuracy moved +25 pts, 67% against 41%.
- Target shiftOmar Morales's head share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 71% head with 7% body and 21% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Chris Duncan
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Omar Morales
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
53Chris Duncan sig. strikes
47Omar Morales sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+100%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Omar Morales)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
53 / 83Sig. strikes47 / 80
64%Accuracy59%
62 / 92Total strikes53 / 86
0Knockdowns0
5 / 14Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub attempts0
6:31Control0:02
12Head32
17Body5
24Leg10
Chris DuncanOmar Morales
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record11-4-0
29Age37
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
4.83Sig. str./min3.42
2.92TD / 15 min0.46
Chris Duncan7-3 in archive
1KO/TKO wins
3Sub wins
57%Finish rate