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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Clay GuidaRound 3Anthony Pettis
7 / 15Sig. strikes3 / 15
47%Accuracy20%
25 / 35Total strikes20 / 32
0Knockdowns0
1 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:36Control0:43
1.4Pace / min0.6
83%Control share17%
Clay Guida
Targethead 43% · body 29% · leg 29%
Phasedistance 29% · clinch 14% · ground 57%
Anthony Pettis
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 33% · clinch 0% · ground 67%
Statistical signals
Output edgeClay Guida landed 7 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeClay Guida held 216s of control to 43s.Striking edgeClay Guida struck at 47% accuracy to 20%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downClay Guida's significant-strike pace moved -30% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 2.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftClay Guida's significant-strike accuracy moved +16 pts, 47% against 30%.
Target shiftClay Guida's head share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 43% head with 29% body and 29% leg.
Phase shiftClay Guida's ground share of landed strikes moved +57 pts, to 57% on the ground against 29% at distance.
Pace downAnthony Pettis's significant-strike pace moved -67% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 1.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftAnthony Pettis's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 20% against 31%.
Phase shiftAnthony Pettis's ground share of landed strikes moved +67 pts, to 67% on the ground against 33% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Clay Guida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Anthony Pettis
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
19Clay Guida sig. strikes
14Anthony Pettis sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+400%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Clay Guida)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
