The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Clay GuidaRound 3Mac Danzig
18 / 27Sig. strikes5 / 15
67%Accuracy33%
29 / 41Total strikes16 / 28
0Knockdowns0
3 / 6Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
4:16Control0:11
3.6Pace / min1.0
96%Control share4%
Clay Guida
Targethead 28% · body 22% · leg 50%
Phasedistance 6% · clinch 72% · ground 22%
Mac Danzig
Targethead 80% · body 0% · leg 20%
Phasedistance 40% · clinch 60% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeClay Guida landed 18 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeClay Guida held 256s of control to 11s.Striking edgeClay Guida struck at 67% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftClay Guida's significant-strike accuracy moved +34 pts, 67% against 33%.
Target shiftClay Guida's head share of landed strikes moved -41 pts, to 28% head with 22% body and 50% leg.
Phase shiftClay Guida's ground share of landed strikes moved +16 pts, to 22% on the ground against 6% at distance.
Control swingClay Guida's control time moved +145s, 256s against 111s.
Pace downMac Danzig's significant-strike pace moved -71% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 3.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Clay Guida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mac Danzig
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
43Clay Guida sig. strikes
36Mac Danzig sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+78%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Clay Guida)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.