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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 3:26
Colby CovingtonRound 3Wagner Silva
3 / 7Sig. strikes2 / 8
43%Accuracy25%
50 / 64Total strikes3 / 9
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
3:10Control0:00
0.9Pace / min0.6
100%Control share0%
Colby Covington
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Wagner Silva
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeColby Covington landed 3 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeColby Covington held 190s of control to 0s.Striking edgeColby Covington struck at 43% accuracy to 25%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downColby Covington's significant-strike pace moved -45% from R2 to R3, 0.9 against 1.6 per minute.
Target shiftColby Covington's head share of landed strikes moved +63 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftColby Covington's ground share of landed strikes moved +100 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Pace downWagner Silva's significant-strike pace moved -51% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Target shiftWagner Silva's head share of landed strikes moved +67 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Colby Covington
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Wagner Silva
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
23Colby Covington sig. strikes
16Wagner Silva sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-51%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Wagner Silva)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
