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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Dan MillerRound 3Matt Horwich
8 / 15Sig. strikes2 / 5
53%Accuracy40%
84 / 95Total strikes7 / 10
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts1
4:54Control0:00
1.6Pace / min0.4
100%Control share0%
Dan Miller
Targethead 88% · body 13% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Matt Horwich
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 100% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeDan Miller landed 8 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeDan Miller held 294s of control to 0s.Striking edgeDan Miller struck at 53% accuracy to 40%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upDan Miller's significant-strike pace moved +33% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDan Miller's significant-strike accuracy moved -32 pts, 53% against 86%.
Phase shiftDan Miller's ground share of landed strikes moved +33 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingDan Miller's control time moved +162s, 294s against 132s.
Pace downMatt Horwich's significant-strike pace moved -67% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Horwich's significant-strike accuracy moved -35 pts, 40% against 75%.
Target shiftMatt Horwich's head share of landed strikes moved +33 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Horwich's ground share of landed strikes moved -83 pts, to 0% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingMatt Horwich's control time moved -159s, 0s against 159s.
Defensive driftMatt Horwich absorbed significant strikes +33% faster than in R2, 1.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Dan Miller
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Matt Horwich
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
31Dan Miller sig. strikes
15Matt Horwich sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-67%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Matt Horwich)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
