Split decision. 2 of 3 judges scored the bout for Daniel Kelly; Chris Lee had it for Rashad Evans.
Scorecards as recorded by UFC Stats · source ↗ · fighter attribution derived from the recorded result, not assumed from score order · how this is built
No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Daniel Kelly |
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
Stance interaction: Daniel Kelly's archived results against opponents listed with Rashad Evans's stance. Historical split, not causation.
Stance interaction: Rashad Evans's archived results against opponents listed with Daniel Kelly's stance. Historical split, not causation.
| 0 |
| 12/46 |
| 14/49 |
| 0/2 |
| 0 |
| 0:00 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Rashad Evans | 0 | 8/30 | 8/32 | 0/1 | 0 | 0:00 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| R2 | Daniel Kelly | 0 | 23/57 | 30/66 | 0/3 | 0 | 0:10 | 19 | 2 | 2 |
| Rashad Evans | 0 | 10/34 | 11/35 | 1/2 | 0 | 0:07 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| R3 | Daniel Kelly | 0 | 39/90 | 48/100 | 0/3 | 0 | 0:00 | 35 | 0 | 4 |
| Rashad Evans | 0 | 35/74 | 43/83 | 0/1 | 0 | 0:00 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Each fighter's stored metric side by side, with its own sample and confidence. Bars compare magnitude only.
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
Daniel Kelly is 3-0-0 in 3 UFC bouts against orthodox opponents (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 1 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2016-11-27.
67% of Daniel Kelly's 3 wins against orthodox opponents came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission), across 3 bouts / 7 rounds / 31.1 min as of 2016-11-27.
Rashad Evans is 2-2-0 in 4 UFC bouts against southpaws (2 KO/TKO, 0 submission, 0 decision wins), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2016-04-17.
100% of Rashad Evans's 2 wins against southpaws came by finish (2 KO/TKO, 0 submission), across 2 bouts / 8 rounds / 34.1 min as of 2016-04-17.
Daniel Kelly kept 162% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 6 bouts / 10 rounds / 41.9 min of stat-covered fights as of 2016-11-27.
Rashad Evans kept 103% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 20 bouts / 33 rounds / 158.7 min of stat-covered fights as of 2016-04-17.
R3 pace retention: Daniel Kelly 162% (6 bouts / 10 rounds / 41.9 min) vs Rashad Evans 103% (20 bouts / 33 rounds / 158.7 min); delta +58% toward Daniel Kelly.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Daniel Kelly 4.85 (6 bouts / 14 rounds / 61.9 min) vs Rashad Evans 6.52 (20 bouts / 55 rounds / 257.7 min); delta -1.67 toward Rashad Evans.
40% of Daniel Kelly's 5 UFC wins came by finish (1 KO/TKO, 0 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2016-11-27.
43% of Rashad Evans's 14 UFC wins came by finish (2 KO/TKO, 0 submission), PBE-derived from canonical results as of 2016-04-17.
What the record cannot support for this pairing, stated instead of hidden.
