Referee · Herb DeanMike Bell · 27-29Jerin Valel · 28-28Junichiro Kamijo · 28-28Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
Market data not configured
The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Draw · R3 · 5:00
Danny ChavezRound 3Kai Kamaka III
17 / 32Sig. strikes12 / 19
53%Accuracy63%
29 / 44Total strikes44 / 56
0Knockdowns0
0 / 3Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
0:29Control3:27
3.4Pace / min2.4
12%Control share88%
Danny Chavez
Targethead 82% · body 12% · leg 6%
Phasedistance 29% · clinch 53% · ground 18%
Kai Kamaka III
Targethead 25% · body 50% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 58% · clinch 42% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeDanny Chavez landed 17 significant strikes to 12.Control edgeKai Kamaka III held 207s of control to 29s.Striking edgeKai Kamaka III struck at 63% accuracy to 53%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftDanny Chavez's significant-strike accuracy moved +21 pts, 53% against 32%.
Target shiftDanny Chavez's head share of landed strikes moved +22 pts, to 82% head with 12% body and 6% leg.
Phase shiftDanny Chavez's ground share of landed strikes moved +18 pts, to 18% on the ground against 29% at distance.
Grappling pressureDanny Chavez attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Pace downKai Kamaka III's significant-strike pace moved -45% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 4.4 per minute.
Grappling pressureKai Kamaka III attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Control swingKai Kamaka III's control time moved +201s, 207s against 6s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Danny Chavez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Kai Kamaka III
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
41Danny Chavez sig. strikes
48Kai Kamaka III sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+67%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Danny Chavez)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
