Referee · Herb DeanMike Bell · 27-30Mike Beltran · 27-30Derek Cleary · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
Market data not configured
The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Derek BrunsonRound 3Lorenz Larkin
2 / 6Sig. strikes8 / 13
33%Accuracy62%
34 / 38Total strikes12 / 18
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:56Control0:00
0.4Pace / min1.6
100%Control share0%
Derek Brunson
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Lorenz Larkin
Targethead 25% · body 75% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeLorenz Larkin landed 8 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeDerek Brunson held 236s of control to 0s.Striking edgeLorenz Larkin struck at 62% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upDerek Brunson's significant-strike pace moved +100% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 0.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDerek Brunson's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 33% against 14%.
Phase shiftDerek Brunson's ground share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Defensive driftDerek Brunson absorbed significant strikes +60% faster than in R2, 1.6 against 1.0 per minute.
Pace upLorenz Larkin's significant-strike pace moved +60% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftLorenz Larkin's significant-strike accuracy moved +23 pts, 62% against 38%.
Defensive driftLorenz Larkin absorbed significant strikes +100% faster than in R2, 0.4 against 0.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Derek Brunson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Lorenz Larkin
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
12Derek Brunson sig. strikes
20Lorenz Larkin sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+100%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Derek Brunson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
