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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Donald CerroneRound 3Eddie Alvarez
42 / 62Sig. strikes9 / 39
68%Accuracy23%
55 / 78Total strikes18 / 51
1Knockdowns0
0 / 1Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
1:37Control0:00
8.4Pace / min1.8
100%Control share0%
Donald Cerrone
Targethead 55% · body 21% · leg 24%
Phasedistance 69% · clinch 17% · ground 14%
Eddie Alvarez
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 78% · clinch 22% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeDonald Cerrone landed 42 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeDonald Cerrone held 97s of control to 0s.Striking edgeDonald Cerrone struck at 68% accuracy to 23%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upDonald Cerrone's significant-strike pace moved +56% from R2 to R3, 8.4 against 5.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDonald Cerrone's significant-strike accuracy moved +20 pts, 68% against 47%.
Target shiftDonald Cerrone's head share of landed strikes moved +36 pts, to 55% head with 21% body and 24% leg.
Phase shiftDonald Cerrone's ground share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 14% on the ground against 69% at distance.
Control swingDonald Cerrone's control time moved +82s, 97s against 15s.
Pace downEddie Alvarez's significant-strike pace moved -44% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 3.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftEddie Alvarez's significant-strike accuracy moved -21 pts, 23% against 44%.
Target shiftEddie Alvarez's head share of landed strikes moved +38 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftEddie Alvarez absorbed significant strikes +56% faster than in R2, 8.4 against 5.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Donald Cerrone
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Eddie Alvarez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
88Donald Cerrone sig. strikes
48Eddie Alvarez sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+56%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Donald Cerrone)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
