The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:05
Dustin PoirierRound 2Eddie Alvarez
34 / 52Sig. strikes8 / 29
65%Accuracy28%
56 / 75Total strikes17 / 41
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 1
2Sub. attempts1
0:05Control2:27
8.3Pace / min2.0
3%Control share97%
Dustin Poirier
Targethead 91% · body 9% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 82% · clinch 18% · ground 0%
Eddie Alvarez
Targethead 63% · body 13% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 0% · ground 50%
Statistical signals
Output edgeDustin Poirier landed 34 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeEddie Alvarez held 147s of control to 5s.Striking edgeDustin Poirier struck at 65% accuracy to 28%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upDustin Poirier's significant-strike pace moved +108% from R1 to R2, 8.3 against 4.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDustin Poirier's significant-strike accuracy moved +34 pts, 65% against 32%.
Target shiftDustin Poirier's head share of landed strikes moved +26 pts, to 91% head with 9% body and 0% leg.
Pace downEddie Alvarez's significant-strike pace moved -46% from R1 to R2, 2.0 against 3.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftEddie Alvarez's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 28% against 38%.
Target shiftEddie Alvarez's head share of landed strikes moved +35 pts, to 63% head with 13% body and 25% leg.
Phase shiftEddie Alvarez's ground share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 50% on the ground against 50% at distance.
Control swingEddie Alvarez's control time moved +147s, 147s against 0s.
Defensive driftEddie Alvarez absorbed significant strikes +108% faster than in R1, 8.3 against 4.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Dustin Poirier
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Eddie Alvarez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
54Dustin Poirier sig. strikes
26Eddie Alvarez sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+108%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Dustin Poirier)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
