The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Evan DunhamRound 3Marcus Aurelio
17 / 38Sig. strikes6 / 30
45%Accuracy20%
20 / 41Total strikes28 / 52
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns2 / 6
0Sub. attempts1
0:25Control2:53
3.4Pace / min1.2
13%Control share87%
Evan Dunham
Targethead 94% · body 0% · leg 6%
Phasedistance 88% · clinch 6% · ground 6%
Marcus Aurelio
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 83% · clinch 0% · ground 17%
Statistical signals
Output edgeEvan Dunham landed 17 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeMarcus Aurelio held 173s of control to 25s.Striking edgeEvan Dunham struck at 45% accuracy to 20%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downEvan Dunham's significant-strike pace moved -26% from R2 to R3, 3.4 against 4.6 per minute.
Target shiftEvan Dunham's head share of landed strikes moved +16 pts, to 94% head with 0% body and 6% leg.
Pace downMarcus Aurelio's significant-strike pace moved -60% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 3.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMarcus Aurelio's significant-strike accuracy moved -18 pts, 20% against 38%.
Target shiftMarcus Aurelio's head share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Control swingMarcus Aurelio's control time moved +93s, 173s against 80s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Evan Dunham
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Marcus Aurelio
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
58Evan Dunham sig. strikes
27Marcus Aurelio sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+150%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Marcus Aurelio)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
