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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Frank MirRound 3Roy Nelson
15 / 18Sig. strikes3 / 6
83%Accuracy50%
32 / 35Total strikes10 / 13
0Knockdowns0
3 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:39Control0:17
3.0Pace / min0.6
93%Control share7%
Frank Mir
Targethead 73% · body 20% · leg 7%
Phasedistance 20% · clinch 20% · ground 60%
Roy Nelson
Targethead 33% · body 0% · leg 67%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 33% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeFrank Mir landed 15 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeFrank Mir held 219s of control to 17s.Striking edgeFrank Mir struck at 83% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upFrank Mir's significant-strike pace moved +67% from R2 to R3, 3.0 against 1.8 per minute.
Phase shiftFrank Mir's ground share of landed strikes moved +49 pts, to 60% on the ground against 20% at distance.
Grappling pressureFrank Mir attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 4 against 2.
Pace downRoy Nelson's significant-strike pace moved -50% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRoy Nelson's significant-strike accuracy moved +13 pts, 50% against 38%.
Target shiftRoy Nelson's head share of landed strikes moved -67 pts, to 33% head with 0% body and 67% leg.
Defensive driftRoy Nelson absorbed significant strikes +67% faster than in R2, 3.0 against 1.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Frank Mir
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Roy Nelson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
46Frank Mir sig. strikes
21Roy Nelson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+67%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Frank Mir)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.