Referee · Herb DeanDerek Cleary · 29-28Richard Bertrand · 27-30Chris Lee · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Frankie SaenzRound 3Sirwan Kakai
24 / 46Sig. strikes12 / 30
52%Accuracy40%
30 / 53Total strikes17 / 36
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 3
1Sub. attempts0
2:25Control0:18
4.8Pace / min2.4
89%Control share11%
Frankie Saenz
Targethead 63% · body 29% · leg 8%
Phasedistance 17% · clinch 71% · ground 13%
Sirwan Kakai
Targethead 50% · body 42% · leg 8%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 25% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeFrankie Saenz landed 24 significant strikes to 12.Control edgeFrankie Saenz held 145s of control to 18s.Striking edgeFrankie Saenz struck at 52% accuracy to 40%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downFrankie Saenz's significant-strike pace moved -20% from R2 to R3, 4.8 against 6.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftFrankie Saenz's significant-strike accuracy moved +15 pts, 52% against 38%.
Control swingFrankie Saenz's control time moved +134s, 145s against 11s.
Pace downSirwan Kakai's significant-strike pace moved -50% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 4.8 per minute.
Target shiftSirwan Kakai's head share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 50% head with 42% body and 8% leg.
Grappling pressureSirwan Kakai attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Frankie Saenz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Sirwan Kakai
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
80Frankie Saenz sig. strikes
55Sirwan Kakai sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-50%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Sirwan Kakai)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
