The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 3:25
Germaine de RandamieRound 3Julianna Pena
11 / 24Sig. strikes8 / 25
46%Accuracy32%
15 / 29Total strikes16 / 35
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 3
1Sub. attempts0
0:00Control1:45
3.2Pace / min2.3
0%Control share100%
Germaine de Randamie
Targethead 73% · body 27% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 73% · clinch 27% · ground 0%
Julianna Pena
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 25% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeGermaine de Randamie landed 11 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeJulianna Pena held 105s of control to 0s.Striking edgeGermaine de Randamie struck at 46% accuracy to 32%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upGermaine de Randamie's significant-strike pace moved +168% from R2 to R3, 3.2 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftGermaine de Randamie's significant-strike accuracy moved -21 pts, 46% against 67%.
Target shiftGermaine de Randamie's head share of landed strikes moved -27 pts, to 73% head with 27% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftGermaine de Randamie's ground share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 0% on the ground against 73% at distance.
Accuracy shiftJulianna Pena's significant-strike accuracy moved -16 pts, 32% against 48%.
Target shiftJulianna Pena's head share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 75% head with 25% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJulianna Pena's ground share of landed strikes moved -64 pts, to 0% on the ground against 75% at distance.
Control swingJulianna Pena's control time moved -116s, 105s against 221s.
Defensive driftJulianna Pena absorbed significant strikes +168% faster than in R2, 3.2 against 1.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Germaine de Randamie
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Julianna Pena
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
37Germaine de Randamie sig. strikes
27Julianna Pena sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+168%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Germaine de Randamie)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.