The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 4:51
Henry CejudoRound 3Marlon Moraes
47 / 65Sig. strikes10 / 23
72%Accuracy43%
53 / 73Total strikes12 / 25
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 1
1Sub. attempts0
2:40Control0:00
9.7Pace / min2.1
100%Control share0%
Henry Cejudo
Targethead 83% · body 17% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 28% · clinch 17% · ground 55%
Marlon Moraes
Targethead 70% · body 30% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 80% · clinch 10% · ground 10%
Statistical signals
Output edgeHenry Cejudo landed 47 significant strikes to 10.Control edgeHenry Cejudo held 160s of control to 0s.Striking edgeHenry Cejudo struck at 72% accuracy to 43%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upHenry Cejudo's significant-strike pace moved +28% from R2 to R3, 9.7 against 7.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftHenry Cejudo's significant-strike accuracy moved +27 pts, 72% against 45%.
Phase shiftHenry Cejudo's ground share of landed strikes moved +55 pts, to 55% on the ground against 28% at distance.
Grappling pressureHenry Cejudo attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
Control swingHenry Cejudo's control time moved +160s, 160s against 0s.
Pace downMarlon Moraes's significant-strike pace moved -67% from R2 to R3, 2.1 against 6.2 per minute.
Defensive driftMarlon Moraes absorbed significant strikes +28% faster than in R2, 9.7 against 7.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Henry Cejudo
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Marlon Moraes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
90Henry Cejudo sig. strikes
57Marlon Moraes sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+660%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Henry Cejudo)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.