Referee · Herb DeanAnders Ohlsson · 28-29Damien Gluski · 29-28Clemens Werner · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ion CutelabaRound 3Ivan Erslan
3 / 5Sig. strikes1 / 3
60%Accuracy33%
14 / 18Total strikes21 / 30
0Knockdowns0
1 / 4Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
0:27Control3:53
0.6Pace / min0.2
10%Control share90%
Ion Cutelaba
Targethead 67% · body 0% · leg 33%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Ivan Erslan
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Statistical signals
Output edgeIon Cutelaba landed 3 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeIvan Erslan held 233s of control to 27s.Striking edgeIon Cutelaba struck at 60% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downIon Cutelaba's significant-strike pace moved -88% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 4.8 per minute.
Target shiftIon Cutelaba's head share of landed strikes moved +12 pts, to 67% head with 0% body and 33% leg.
Pace downIvan Erslan's significant-strike pace moved -93% from R2 to R3, 0.2 against 2.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftIvan Erslan's significant-strike accuracy moved -19 pts, 33% against 52%.
Target shiftIvan Erslan's head share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftIvan Erslan's ground share of landed strikes moved +100 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingIvan Erslan's control time moved +147s, 233s against 86s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ion Cutelaba
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Ivan Erslan
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
45Ion Cutelaba sig. strikes
39Ivan Erslan sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-93%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Ivan Erslan)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.