The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Islam MakhachevRound 3Arman Tsarukyan
4 / 4Sig. strikes5 / 20
100%Accuracy25%
15 / 15Total strikes11 / 26
0Knockdowns0
2 / 2Takedowns0 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
2:30Control0:00
0.8Pace / min1.0
100%Control share0%
Islam Makhachev
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 25% · ground 0%
Arman Tsarukyan
Targethead 40% · body 60% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 80% · clinch 20% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeArman Tsarukyan landed 5 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeIslam Makhachev held 150s of control to 0s.Striking edgeIslam Makhachev struck at 100% accuracy to 25%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftIslam Makhachev's significant-strike accuracy moved +43 pts, 100% against 57%.
Phase shiftIslam Makhachev's ground share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 0% on the ground against 75% at distance.
Defensive driftIslam Makhachev absorbed significant strikes +25% faster than in R2, 1.0 against 0.8 per minute.
Pace upArman Tsarukyan's significant-strike pace moved +25% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftArman Tsarukyan's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 25% against 36%.
Target shiftArman Tsarukyan's head share of landed strikes moved -35 pts, to 40% head with 60% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Islam Makhachev
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Arman Tsarukyan
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
14Islam Makhachev sig. strikes
13Arman Tsarukyan sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-33%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Islam Makhachev)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
