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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Draw · R3 · 5:00
Jesse BongfeldtRound 3Rafael Natal
41 / 54Sig. strikes2 / 7
76%Accuracy29%
49 / 62Total strikes2 / 7
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
2:54Control0:00
8.2Pace / min0.4
100%Control share0%
Jesse Bongfeldt
Targethead 73% · body 12% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 27% · clinch 7% · ground 66%
Rafael Natal
Targethead 0% · body 0% · leg 100%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJesse Bongfeldt landed 41 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeJesse Bongfeldt held 174s of control to 0s.Striking edgeJesse Bongfeldt struck at 76% accuracy to 29%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upJesse Bongfeldt's significant-strike pace moved +412% from R2 to R3, 8.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJesse Bongfeldt's significant-strike accuracy moved +34 pts, 76% against 42%.
Control swingJesse Bongfeldt's control time moved +92s, 174s against 82s.
Pace downRafael Natal's significant-strike pace moved -67% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRafael Natal's significant-strike accuracy moved -31 pts, 29% against 60%.
Target shiftRafael Natal's head share of landed strikes moved -83 pts, to 0% head with 0% body and 100% leg.
Phase shiftRafael Natal's ground share of landed strikes moved -67 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingRafael Natal's control time moved -166s, 0s against 166s.
Defensive driftRafael Natal absorbed significant strikes +412% faster than in R2, 8.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Jesse Bongfeldt
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rafael Natal
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
53Jesse Bongfeldt sig. strikes
13Rafael Natal sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+412%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Jesse Bongfeldt)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
