Referee · Fernando Salas NavarroEric Colon · 29-28Mike Bell · 28-29Horacio Lopez · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Jesus AguilarRound 3Mateus Mendonca
6 / 11Sig. strikes4 / 9
55%Accuracy44%
7 / 13Total strikes20 / 44
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 1
1Sub. attempts1
0:22Control4:00
1.2Pace / min0.8
8%Control share92%
Jesus Aguilar
Targethead 67% · body 17% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Mateus Mendonca
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 0% · ground 50%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJesus Aguilar landed 6 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeMateus Mendonca held 240s of control to 22s.Striking edgeJesus Aguilar struck at 55% accuracy to 44%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftJesus Aguilar's significant-strike accuracy moved +12 pts, 55% against 43%.
Phase shiftJesus Aguilar's ground share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingJesus Aguilar's control time moved -76s, 22s against 98s.
Pace downMateus Mendonca's significant-strike pace moved -69% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Target shiftMateus Mendonca's head share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 75% head with 25% body and 0% leg.
Control swingMateus Mendonca's control time moved +64s, 240s against 176s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Jesus Aguilar
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mateus Mendonca
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
19Jesus Aguilar sig. strikes
18Mateus Mendonca sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+1200%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Mateus Mendonca)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
