The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 4:26
Joel ÁlvarezRound 2Marc Diakiese
11 / 13Sig. strikes1 / 4
85%Accuracy25%
33 / 36Total strikes9 / 13
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns2 / 3
1Sub. attempts0
0:58Control2:55
2.5Pace / min0.2
25%Control share75%
Joel Álvarez
Targethead 45% · body 45% · leg 9%
Phasedistance 55% · clinch 18% · ground 27%
Marc Diakiese
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJoel Álvarez landed 11 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeMarc Diakiese held 175s of control to 58s.Striking edgeJoel Álvarez struck at 85% accuracy to 25%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace downJoel Álvarez's significant-strike pace moved -60% from R1 to R2, 2.5 against 6.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJoel Álvarez's significant-strike accuracy moved +35 pts, 85% against 50%.
Phase shiftJoel Álvarez's ground share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 27% on the ground against 55% at distance.
Pace downMarc Diakiese's significant-strike pace moved -94% from R1 to R2, 0.2 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMarc Diakiese's significant-strike accuracy moved -20 pts, 25% against 45%.
Target shiftMarc Diakiese's head share of landed strikes moved +63 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Grappling pressureMarc Diakiese attempted 3 more takedowns than in R1, 3 against 0.
Control swingMarc Diakiese's control time moved +161s, 175s against 14s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Joel Álvarez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Marc Diakiese
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
42Joel Álvarez sig. strikes
20Marc Diakiese sig. strikes
2rounds observed
-94%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Marc Diakiese)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
