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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
John HowardRound 3Chris Wilson
9 / 13Sig. strikes7 / 14
69%Accuracy50%
34 / 42Total strikes18 / 26
0Knockdowns0
2 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
2Sub. attempts1
3:49Control0:15
1.8Pace / min1.4
94%Control share6%
John Howard
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Chris Wilson
Targethead 57% · body 43% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 43% · clinch 0% · ground 57%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJohn Howard landed 9 significant strikes to 7.Control edgeJohn Howard held 229s of control to 15s.Striking edgeJohn Howard struck at 69% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upJohn Howard's significant-strike pace moved +50% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJohn Howard's significant-strike accuracy moved +23 pts, 69% against 46%.
Target shiftJohn Howard's head share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJohn Howard's ground share of landed strikes moved +100 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingJohn Howard's control time moved +147s, 229s against 82s.
Pace downChris Wilson's significant-strike pace moved -71% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 4.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftChris Wilson's significant-strike accuracy moved -15 pts, 50% against 65%.
Target shiftChris Wilson's head share of landed strikes moved +24 pts, to 57% head with 43% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftChris Wilson's ground share of landed strikes moved +32 pts, to 57% on the ground against 43% at distance.
Control swingChris Wilson's control time moved -88s, 15s against 103s.
Defensive driftChris Wilson absorbed significant strikes +50% faster than in R2, 1.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
John Howard
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Chris Wilson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
21John Howard sig. strikes
45Chris Wilson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+71%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Chris Wilson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
