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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
John MakdessiRound 3Mehdi Baghdad
33 / 65Sig. strikes25 / 64
51%Accuracy39%
57 / 91Total strikes29 / 68
0Knockdowns1
0 / 1Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
1:45Control0:07
6.6Pace / min5.0
94%Control share6%
John Makdessi
Targethead 52% · body 33% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 85% · clinch 9% · ground 6%
Mehdi Baghdad
Targethead 68% · body 8% · leg 24%
Phasedistance 76% · clinch 12% · ground 12%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJohn Makdessi landed 33 significant strikes to 25.Control edgeJohn Makdessi held 105s of control to 7s.Striking edgeJohn Makdessi struck at 51% accuracy to 39%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftJohn Makdessi's significant-strike accuracy moved -10 pts, 51% against 61%.
Target shiftJohn Makdessi's head share of landed strikes moved +19 pts, to 52% head with 33% body and 15% leg.
Control swingJohn Makdessi's control time moved +105s, 105s against 0s.
Defensive driftJohn Makdessi absorbed significant strikes +32% faster than in R2, 5.0 against 3.8 per minute.
Pace upMehdi Baghdad's significant-strike pace moved +32% from R2 to R3, 5.0 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMehdi Baghdad's significant-strike accuracy moved +13 pts, 39% against 26%.
Target shiftMehdi Baghdad's head share of landed strikes moved +42 pts, to 68% head with 8% body and 24% leg.
Phase shiftMehdi Baghdad's ground share of landed strikes moved +12 pts, to 12% on the ground against 76% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
John Makdessi
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mehdi Baghdad
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
84John Makdessi sig. strikes
60Mehdi Baghdad sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+55%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (John Makdessi)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
