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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 4:06
John MoragaRound 3Willie Gates
29 / 32Sig. strikes4 / 8
91%Accuracy50%
48 / 52Total strikes5 / 9
0Knockdowns0
1 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
3:37Control0:00
7.1Pace / min1.0
100%Control share0%
John Moraga
Targethead 79% · body 21% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 3% · clinch 10% · ground 86%
Willie Gates
Targethead 0% · body 75% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 25% · clinch 75% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJohn Moraga landed 29 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeJohn Moraga held 217s of control to 0s.Striking edgeJohn Moraga struck at 91% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upJohn Moraga's significant-strike pace moved +172% from R2 to R3, 7.1 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJohn Moraga's significant-strike accuracy moved +47 pts, 91% against 43%.
Target shiftJohn Moraga's head share of landed strikes moved +64 pts, to 79% head with 21% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJohn Moraga's ground share of landed strikes moved +86 pts, to 86% on the ground against 3% at distance.
Accuracy shiftWillie Gates's significant-strike accuracy moved +25 pts, 50% against 25%.
Target shiftWillie Gates's head share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 0% head with 75% body and 25% leg.
Defensive driftWillie Gates absorbed significant strikes +172% faster than in R2, 7.1 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
John Moraga
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Willie Gates
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
56John Moraga sig. strikes
22Willie Gates sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+172%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (John Moraga)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
