The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 5:00
Jorge MasvidalRound 3Nate Diaz
38 / 67Sig. strikes19 / 46
57%Accuracy41%
38 / 67Total strikes57 / 86
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
1:53Control0:13
7.6Pace / min3.8
90%Control share10%
Jorge Masvidal
Targethead 74% · body 21% · leg 5%
Phasedistance 63% · clinch 5% · ground 32%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 63% · body 26% · leg 11%
Phasedistance 84% · clinch 16% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJorge Masvidal landed 38 significant strikes to 19.Control edgeJorge Masvidal held 113s of control to 13s.Striking edgeJorge Masvidal struck at 57% accuracy to 41%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftJorge Masvidal's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 57% against 67%.
Defensive driftJorge Masvidal absorbed significant strikes +73% faster than in R2, 3.8 against 2.2 per minute.
Pace upNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved +73% from R2 to R3, 3.8 against 2.2 per minute.
Target shiftNate Diaz's head share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 63% head with 26% body and 11% leg.
Grappling pressureNate Diaz attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Jorge Masvidal
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
112Jorge Masvidal sig. strikes
43Nate Diaz sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+73%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Nate Diaz)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
