No market observation could be sourced for this bout.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Justin ScogginsRound 3Will Campuzano
34 / 45Sig. strikes0 / 3
76%Accuracy0%
41 / 55Total strikes4 / 10
0Knockdowns0
2 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
4:42Control0:00
6.8Pace / min0.0
100%Control share0%
Justin Scoggins
Targethead 97% · body 3% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Will Campuzano
TargetNo strikes landed this round
PhaseNo strikes landed this round
Statistical signals
Output edgeJustin Scoggins landed 34 significant strikes to 0.Control edgeJustin Scoggins held 282s of control to 0s.Striking edgeJustin Scoggins struck at 76% accuracy to 0%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upJustin Scoggins's significant-strike pace moved +467% from R2 to R3, 6.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJustin Scoggins's significant-strike accuracy moved +48 pts, 76% against 27%.
Target shiftJustin Scoggins's head share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 97% head with 3% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJustin Scoggins's ground share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Grappling pressureJustin Scoggins attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Control swingJustin Scoggins's control time moved +95s, 282s against 187s.
Pace downWill Campuzano's significant-strike pace moved -100% from R2 to R3, 0.0 against 0.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftWill Campuzano's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 0% against 11%.
Defensive driftWill Campuzano absorbed significant strikes +467% faster than in R2, 6.8 against 1.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Two fighter histories. One matchup-specific intelligence layer. Fight DNA compares relevant historical characteristics from each fighter — stance interaction, pace, finish patterns, round progression and context — rather than treating career averages as isolated numbers. Every observation below traces to stored evidence with its sample and confidence.
PBE derivedPBE DerivedCalculated by PropBetEdge from normalized event, bout and round-level source records using a versioned Fight DNA definition. It is not an official UFC statistic, is not simply copied from a source page, and is not a prediction.Definitionversioned Fight DNA registrySampleshown beside every numberConfidencetier set by the sampleAs ofsnapshot datePBE Derived explained →What does confidence mean?Calculated by PropBetEdge from both fighters' normalized fight records. Not an official UFC statistic and not a prediction. How Matchup DNA works →
ConfidenceConfidenceConfidence reflects the amount of supporting sample for this metric. It does not mean PropBetEdge is predicting the fighter will reproduce the number in the next fight.Thresholds are the definition v1 rules recorded in the Fight DNA contract; they are applied by the builder, not by this page.Highlarger supporting sampleMediumuseful but still limited sampleLowsmall sample — interpret carefullyInsufficientnot enough observed evidence to publish the metricConfidence tiers explained →What does confidence mean?
result DNA liveArchive sample · Justin Scoggins: 1 completed / 1 with round stats · Will Campuzano: 3 completed / 3 with round stats
Justin Scoggins vs Orthodox opponents
Stance interaction: Justin Scoggins's archived results against opponents listed with Will Campuzano's stance. Historical split, not causation.
PBE derived
—Record1 appearance · low
Will Campuzano vs Southpaw opponents
Stance interaction: Will Campuzano's archived results against opponents listed with Justin Scoggins's stance. Historical split, not causation.
Each fighter's stored metric side by side, with its own sample and confidence. Bars compare magnitude only.
Justin Scoggins · left · Will Campuzano · right
100%insufficientFinish rateFinish rate of winsThe percentage of recorded wins ending by KO/TKO or submission rather than decision.A percentage of wins, not of all bouts.A fighter with two wins and two finishes shows 100%. Read the sample beside it.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample0 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?insufficient—
100%insufficientKO/TKO share of winsKO/TKO share of winsThe percentage of recorded wins that came by knockout or technical knockout.A percentage of wins.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample0 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?insufficient—
0%insufficientSubmission share of winsSubmission share of winsThe percentage of recorded wins that came by submission.A percentage of wins.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample0 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?insufficient—
4:43lowMedian finish timeMedian finish timeThe median elapsed fight time of this fighter's finish wins, counted from the opening bell across rounds.Minutes:seconds of total fight time; a 2:30 finish in round two shows as 7:30.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample0 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?insufficient—
5.72/minlowSig. strikes landed / minSignificant strikes landed per minuteOffensive striking pace normalized by observed fight time: how many significant strikes this fighter landed for every minute the round stats cover.Per minute of observed, stat-covered fight time.More volume is not automatically better. Accuracy, defense, position and opponent context matter too.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium2.67/min
0.42/minlowSig. strikes absorbed / minSignificant strikes absorbed per minuteHow many significant strikes opponents landed on this fighter for each observed minute.Per minute of observed, stat-covered fight time.This is exposure, not a complete measure of defense. A high-pace fighter can absorb more simply by being in more exchanges.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium3.73/min
73%lowSig. strike accuracySignificant strike accuracyThe share of significant-strike attempts that landed.A percentage of this fighter's own attempts.Accuracy rises when a fighter throws less and picks shots; read it together with pace.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium40%
71%lowSig. strike defenseSignificant strike defenseThe share of opponents' significant-strike attempts that did not land.A percentage of the opponents' attempts.Defense counts avoided attempts, not damage. It says nothing about the strikes that did get through.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium51%
84%lowHead attack shareHead attack shareThe share of this fighter's significant-strike attempts aimed at the head.A share of this fighter's own significant-strike attempts, so the six shares describe where the offense went, not how much landed.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium81%
14%lowBody attack shareBody attack shareThe share of this fighter's significant-strike attempts aimed at the body.A share of this fighter's own significant-strike attempts, so the six shares describe where the offense went, not how much landed.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium17%
3%lowLeg attack shareLeg attack shareThe share of this fighter's significant-strike attempts aimed at the legs.A share of this fighter's own significant-strike attempts, so the six shares describe where the offense went, not how much landed.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium2%
24%lowDistance attack shareDistance attack shareThe share of this fighter's significant-strike attempts thrown at distance (on the feet, not in the clinch).A share of this fighter's own significant-strike attempts, so the six shares describe where the offense went, not how much landed.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium90%
14%lowClinch attack shareClinch attack shareThe share of this fighter's significant-strike attempts thrown in the clinch.A share of this fighter's own significant-strike attempts, so the six shares describe where the offense went, not how much landed.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium4%
62%lowGround attack shareGround attack shareThe share of this fighter's significant-strike attempts thrown on the ground.A share of this fighter's own significant-strike attempts, so the six shares describe where the offense went, not how much landed.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium6%
0.00/15lowKnockdowns / 15 minKnockdowns per 15 minutesKnockdowns scored, normalized to 15 minutes of observed fight time.Normalized to 15 minutes of observed fight time (the length of a standard three-round bout).Knockdowns are rare events; small samples move this number a lot.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium0.00/15
9.54/15lowTakedown attempts / 15 minTakedown attempts per 15 minutesTakedown activity normalized to the length of a standard three-round UFC fight.Normalized to 15 minutes of observed fight time (the length of a standard three-round bout).Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium3.70/15
67%lowTakedown accuracyTakedown accuracyThe share of takedown attempts that were completed.A percentage of this fighter's own attempts.A fighter who rarely shoots can post a high accuracy from a handful of attempts.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium45%
122s/TDlowControl seconds / takedownControl time per takedownHow much recorded control time followed each successful takedown.Seconds of control for every takedown landed.Control time is recorded per round by the source; it is not split by position or by who initiated the grappling.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium105s/TD
0.00/15lowSubmission attempts / 15 minSubmission attempts per 15 minutesSubmission attempts normalized to 15 minutes of observed fight time.Normalized to 15 minutes of observed fight time (the length of a standard three-round bout).Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 9 rd · 45 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium0.00/15
—insufficientR2 pace retentionRound-two pace retentionRound-two significant-strike attempt pace divided by round-one pace, over bouts where both rounds are covered. 100% means round two matched round one.A ratio shown as a percentage of the round-one pace.Only bouts with both rounds covered count, so early finishes are excluded by construction.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 6 rd · 30 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium138%
—insufficientR3 pace retentionRound-three pace retentionRound-three significant-strike attempt pace divided by round-one pace, over bouts where both rounds are covered.A ratio shown as a percentage of the round-one pace.Only bouts that reached round three with stats count.Left sample1 bout · 1 rd · 5 minRight sample3 bouts · 6 rd · 30 minLearn more →What does confidence mean?medium158%
Strongest supported observations
Emitted only when the underlying metric clears its sample threshold; otherwise it lands in the counter-case column.
Will Campuzano R3 pace retentionmedium3 bouts · 6 rd
Will Campuzano kept 158% of round-one significant-strike attempt pace into round three across 3 bouts / 6 rounds / 29.6 min of stat-covered fights as of 2013-11-17.
