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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 3:50
Kevin BurnsRound 2Roan Carneiro
6 / 11Sig. strikes5 / 16
55%Accuracy31%
35 / 40Total strikes10 / 22
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 3
1Sub. attempts0
0:28Control2:39
1.6Pace / min1.3
15%Control share85%
Kevin Burns
Targethead 83% · body 0% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 17% · ground 33%
Roan Carneiro
Targethead 60% · body 20% · leg 20%
Phasedistance 40% · clinch 0% · ground 60%
Statistical signals
Output edgeKevin Burns landed 6 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeRoan Carneiro held 159s of control to 28s.Striking edgeKevin Burns struck at 55% accuracy to 31%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upKevin Burns's significant-strike pace moved +291% from R1 to R2, 1.6 against 0.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftKevin Burns's significant-strike accuracy moved -45 pts, 55% against 100%.
Target shiftKevin Burns's head share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 83% head with 0% body and 17% leg.
Phase shiftKevin Burns's ground share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 33% on the ground against 50% at distance.
Accuracy shiftRoan Carneiro's significant-strike accuracy moved -19 pts, 31% against 50%.
Target shiftRoan Carneiro's head share of landed strikes moved -40 pts, to 60% head with 20% body and 20% leg.
Phase shiftRoan Carneiro's ground share of landed strikes moved -40 pts, to 60% on the ground against 40% at distance.
Control swingRoan Carneiro's control time moved -106s, 159s against 265s.
Defensive driftRoan Carneiro absorbed significant strikes +291% faster than in R1, 1.6 against 0.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Kevin Burns
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Roan Carneiro
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
8Kevin Burns sig. strikes
12Roan Carneiro sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+291%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Kevin Burns)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
