The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 2:31
Khabib NurmagomedovRound 3Michael Johnson
12 / 15Sig. strikes2 / 5
80%Accuracy40%
18 / 21Total strikes3 / 6
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
2:06Control0:00
4.8Pace / min0.8
100%Control share0%
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 8% · clinch 0% · ground 92%
Michael Johnson
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeKhabib Nurmagomedov landed 12 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeKhabib Nurmagomedov held 126s of control to 0s.Striking edgeKhabib Nurmagomedov struck at 80% accuracy to 40%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downKhabib Nurmagomedov's significant-strike pace moved -51% from R2 to R3, 4.8 against 9.8 per minute.
Control swingKhabib Nurmagomedov's control time moved -89s, 126s against 215s.
Defensive driftKhabib Nurmagomedov absorbed significant strikes +297% faster than in R2, 0.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Pace upMichael Johnson's significant-strike pace moved +297% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMichael Johnson's significant-strike accuracy moved +35 pts, 40% against 5%.
Target shiftMichael Johnson's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 50% head with 50% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Michael Johnson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
94Khabib Nurmagomedov sig. strikes
19Michael Johnson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+297%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Michael Johnson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
