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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Marcelo GuimaraesRound 3Dan Stittgen
33 / 56Sig. strikes25 / 54
59%Accuracy46%
68 / 91Total strikes29 / 58
0Knockdowns0
0 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
1:04Control0:00
6.6Pace / min5.0
100%Control share0%
Marcelo Guimaraes
Targethead 24% · body 9% · leg 67%
Phasedistance 70% · clinch 30% · ground 0%
Dan Stittgen
Targethead 20% · body 20% · leg 60%
Phasedistance 96% · clinch 4% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMarcelo Guimaraes landed 33 significant strikes to 25.Control edgeMarcelo Guimaraes held 64s of control to 0s.Striking edgeMarcelo Guimaraes struck at 59% accuracy to 46%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMarcelo Guimaraes's significant-strike pace moved +154% from R2 to R3, 6.6 against 2.6 per minute.
Control swingMarcelo Guimaraes's control time moved -70s, 64s against 134s.
Defensive driftMarcelo Guimaraes absorbed significant strikes +47% faster than in R2, 5.0 against 3.4 per minute.
Pace upDan Stittgen's significant-strike pace moved +47% from R2 to R3, 5.0 against 3.4 per minute.
Target shiftDan Stittgen's head share of landed strikes moved -21 pts, to 20% head with 20% body and 60% leg.
Defensive driftDan Stittgen absorbed significant strikes +154% faster than in R2, 6.6 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Marcelo Guimaraes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Dan Stittgen
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
63Marcelo Guimaraes sig. strikes
49Dan Stittgen sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+154%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Marcelo Guimaraes)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
