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- UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
- Mateusz Rebecki vs Myktybek Orolbai
Catchweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalPhoto:
ESPN · via Wikimedia Commons
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Saturday, October 26, 2024 · Abu Dhabi · Abu Dhabi
Result
Mateusz Rebecki def. Myktybek Orolbai
Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Vitor RibeiroJacob Montalvo · 29-28Sal D'amato · 28-29Ben Cartlidge · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Mateusz RebeckiRound 3Myktybek Orolbai
21 / 34Sig. strikes14 / 27
62%Accuracy52%
42 / 61Total strikes35 / 50
1Knockdowns0
3 / 3Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
2:09Control1:21
4.2Pace / min2.8
61%Control share39%
Mateusz Rebecki
Targethead 95% · body 0% · leg 5%
Phasedistance 29% · clinch 14% · ground 57%
Myktybek Orolbai
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 93% · clinch 0% · ground 7%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMateusz Rebecki landed 21 significant strikes to 14.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Accuracy shiftMateusz Rebecki's significant-strike accuracy moved +20 pts, 62% against 42%.
- Target shiftMateusz Rebecki's head share of landed strikes moved +21 pts, to 95% head with 0% body and 5% leg.
- Phase shiftMateusz Rebecki's ground share of landed strikes moved +57 pts, to 57% on the ground against 29% at distance.
- Grappling pressureMateusz Rebecki attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
- Control swingMateusz Rebecki's control time moved +114s, 129s against 15s.
- Pace downMyktybek Orolbai's significant-strike pace moved -44% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 5.0 per minute.
- Target shiftMyktybek Orolbai's head share of landed strikes moved +24 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Mateusz Rebecki
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Myktybek Orolbai
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
71Mateusz Rebecki sig. strikes
61Myktybek Orolbai sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-44%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Myktybek Orolbai)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
71 / 146Sig. strikes61 / 135
49%Accuracy45%
93 / 174Total strikes85 / 162
1Knockdowns0
3 / 4Takedowns2 / 5
0Sub attempts0
2:24Control2:05
52Head46
10Body6
9Leg9
Mateusz RebeckiMyktybek Orolbai
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
|
Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record16-3-1
32Age26
5'7"Height5'10"
66"Reach74"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
4.79Sig. str./min2.70
3.05TD / 15 min8.22
Mateusz Rebecki3-3 in archive
1KO/TKO wins
1Sub wins
67%Finish rate
