Referee · Mark MathenyNelson Hamilton · 28-29John Kloock · 29-28Jeff Mullen · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matt GriceRound 3Jason Black
21 / 30Sig. strikes2 / 7
70%Accuracy29%
62 / 74Total strikes5 / 11
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
4:17Control0:17
4.2Pace / min0.4
94%Control share6%
Matt Grice
Targethead 90% · body 10% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 14% · clinch 5% · ground 81%
Jason Black
Targethead 0% · body 100% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 100% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Grice landed 21 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeMatt Grice held 257s of control to 17s.Striking edgeMatt Grice struck at 70% accuracy to 29%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMatt Grice's significant-strike pace moved +31% from R2 to R3, 4.2 against 3.2 per minute.
Phase shiftMatt Grice's ground share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 81% on the ground against 14% at distance.
Pace downJason Black's significant-strike pace moved -60% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJason Black's significant-strike accuracy moved -27 pts, 29% against 56%.
Target shiftJason Black's head share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% head with 100% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJason Black's ground share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Defensive driftJason Black absorbed significant strikes +31% faster than in R2, 4.2 against 3.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Grice
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jason Black
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
44Matt Grice sig. strikes
10Jason Black sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+129%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matt Grice)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
