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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:53
Matt HughesRound 3BJ Penn
24 / 49Sig. strikes2 / 10
49%Accuracy20%
61 / 89Total strikes2 / 10
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
2:11Control0:00
6.2Pace / min0.5
100%Control share0%
Matt Hughes
Targethead 83% · body 13% · leg 4%
Phasedistance 63% · clinch 4% · ground 33%
BJ Penn
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Hughes landed 24 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeMatt Hughes held 131s of control to 0s.Striking edgeMatt Hughes struck at 49% accuracy to 20%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMatt Hughes's significant-strike pace moved +673% from R2 to R3, 6.2 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Hughes's significant-strike accuracy moved +16 pts, 49% against 33%.
Phase shiftMatt Hughes's ground share of landed strikes moved -42 pts, to 33% on the ground against 63% at distance.
Defensive driftMatt Hughes absorbed significant strikes +29% faster than in R2, 0.5 against 0.4 per minute.
Pace upBJ Penn's significant-strike pace moved +29% from R2 to R3, 0.5 against 0.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftBJ Penn's significant-strike accuracy moved -20 pts, 20% against 40%.
Target shiftBJ Penn's head share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftBJ Penn's ground share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% on the ground against 50% at distance.
Control swingBJ Penn's control time moved -79s, 0s against 79s.
Defensive driftBJ Penn absorbed significant strikes +673% faster than in R2, 6.2 against 0.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Hughes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
BJ Penn
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
35Matt Hughes sig. strikes
17BJ Penn sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+673%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Matt Hughes)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
