The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:34
Matt HughesRound 1Marcelo Aguiar
18 / 31Sig. strikes2 / 2
58%Accuracy100%
29 / 42Total strikes21 / 21
0Knockdowns0
2 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
4:09Control0:00
3.9Pace / min0.4
100%Control share0%
Matt Hughes
Targethead 78% · body 22% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Marcelo Aguiar
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Hughes landed 18 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeMatt Hughes held 249s of control to 0s.Striking edgeMarcelo Aguiar struck at 100% accuracy to 58%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Hughes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Marcelo Aguiar
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
18Matt Hughes sig. strikes
2Marcelo Aguiar sig. strikes
1rounds observed
R1
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.